Tesla's Stock Outlook for 2025 and Beyond

Tesla's Stock Outlook for 2025 and Beyond

How Tesla Got Started & What It Wants to Do

Tesla began in 2003 when two smart guys, Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning, decided to make cars that run on electricity instead of gas. They wanted to help the Earth by making cars that don’t make yucky air. In 2004, a guy named Elon Musk joined them and later became the big boss in 2008. Tesla’s big dream is to “make the world use clean energy faster.” Their first car, called the Tesla Roadster, came out in 2008. It was super fast and could go more than 200 miles on one battery charge! That showed everyone that electric cars can be awesome, not slow or boring.

Now, Tesla makes cars and also stuff for clean energy, like solar panels and big batteries called Powerwalls to save energy. They have big factories in the United States, China, and Germany, and they have special charging spots called Superchargers all over the world so Tesla cars can charge up fast.

tesla roadster

Where Tesla Stands Today

As of March 2025, Tesla is the most valuable car company in the whole world, even though it has some tough stuff to deal with. In 2024, Tesla gave out almost 1.8 million cars to people all over the world, but that was a tiny bit less than the year before. Tesla is still the king of electric cars, making about 40% of all electric cars sold in 2023. But now, other car companies like Ford and a company from China called BYD are trying to catch up, which makes things harder for Tesla.


Tesla also makes stuff for clean energy, and that part of the company is doing great! In the last part of 2024, their clean energy business grew by 50% compared to the year before, and they made more money from it, too. Things like the Powerwall and Megapack (big batteries for storing energy) are becoming really popular, which makes Tesla a leader in clean energy.

Tesla factory

Tesla’s Money Value: A Big Up-and-Down Ride

Tesla’s money value, which grown-ups call its “stock price,” has been like a rollercoaster since it first started selling shares in 2010. Back then, each share was $17, and on the first day, it went up to $23.89. Over the years, Tesla’s shares got split up (like cutting a pizza into smaller slices), and now they’re worth a lot more! By March 2025, Tesla’s stock price is $230.58, but it was way higher at $487.87 in December 2024. That means it dropped a lot, losing about $800 billion in value, which is a huge amount of money!


The drop happened because Tesla didn’t sell as many cars as they hoped, and they made less money in 2024 than in 2023. Also, some people were upset because Elon Musk, the boss of Tesla, started helping with politics in the United States, and that made some customers not want to buy Tesla cars. But even with the drop, Tesla’s stock went up 60% over all of 2024, especially after the U.S. election in November 2024, because people thought Tesla might get some help from the new leaders.


Tesla stock price chart

What People Think About Tesla’s Money Value Now

Right now, in March 2025, people have different ideas about Tesla’s stock. Some grown-ups who study money, called analysts, think Tesla’s stock is a good buy, while others are worried. On a scale from 1 (super good buy) to 5 (don’t buy), Tesla has a score of 2.74, which means it’s kind of in the middle. Out of 41 people who study Tesla, 14 say it’s a super good buy, and three say it’s a good buy. But some tools that look at patterns say the stock might go down, while others say it might go up.


Some analysts think Tesla’s stock could go as low as $120 or as high as $1,000! The average guess is $346.36, which means it might go up by 38.56% from $230.58. A group called Wedbush thinks Tesla will be the best at making cars that drive themselves, and they guess the stock could go to $550 because of new cars and robot taxis coming soon.

What’s Next for Tesla: Fun Stuff Coming in 2025 and 2026

Things Happening Right Now That Affect Tesla

In 2025, Tesla is dealing with some good and some tricky things. On the good side, more people around the world want electric cars. In the United States, electric car sales went up by 20% in 2024 compared to 2023, and Tesla is a big part of that. Tesla is also growing in places like China, where they’re working with a company called Baidu to make cars that can drive a little bit on their own. On a website called X, lots of people are excited about Tesla’s new ideas, like cars that drive themselves and a new cheaper car coming soon.


But Tesla has some problems, too. In China, they sold 45% fewer cars in January 2025 than the year before because people there aren’t buying as many cars, and other companies are making cheaper ones. In Europe, some people don’t want to buy Tesla cars because they’re mad about Elon Musk’s ideas about politics. Also, the new U.S. leader, President Trump, might take away some money that helps people buy electric cars, which could make things harder for Tesla. But Elon Musk says it’ll be okay because other car companies will have a harder time.

Tesla Model Y supercharging in China

How Many Cars Tesla Sells and What’s Coming Next

In 2024, Tesla gave out 1.79 million cars, which was a tiny bit less than the 1.8 million they gave out in 2023. That means they didn’t grow as much as they wanted. Their big truck, the Cybertruck, which came out in 2023, didn’t sell as many as Elon Musk hoped. They sold 38,965 Cybertrucks in 2024, but Elon wanted to sell 250,000 by 2025. Tesla also lowered the prices of their older cars, like the Model 3 and Model Y, to get more people to buy them, but that meant they made less money on each car.


For 2025, people think Tesla will make and give out 2.5 million cars because they’re building more factories, like a new one in Mexico for batteries. They might make $127.61 billion in 2025, which is more than the $107.12 billion they made in 2024. They might also make more money per share, going up to $3.87, which is a 37.08% jump.

Tesla Cybertruck

New Things Tesla Will Bring Out in 2025 and 2026

Tesla has some really exciting stuff coming soon that might make them even more popular:


  • A Cheaper Tesla Car ($30,000-$35,000): In the summer of 2025, Tesla will make a new small car that doesn’t cost too much. This will help more people buy a Tesla because it’s not as expensive as their other cars. Some people think this could help Tesla give out 2 million cars every year!


  • Cybercab Robot Taxi: Tesla is working on a car called the Cybercab that can drive all by itself with no steering wheel or pedals! They’ll start making it in Texas in 2026, and it’ll cost less than $30,000. Elon Musk says they’ll start using these robot taxis in Texas by June 2025, but they have to make sure it’s safe first.


  • Model Y Juniper Update: Tesla is going to make their Model Y even better with a new look and cool features. This update, called “Juniper,” might come out at the end of 2025 or the start of 2026.


  • Cars That Drive Themselves (Full Self-Driving): Tesla is working hard to make their cars drive all by themselves. Elon Musk says by the end of 2025, their Full Self-Driving (FSD) will be safer than a person driving. People can pay $99 a month to use FSD, which helps Tesla make more money.


Tesla Cybercab

Where Tesla Might Be in 5 Years: Looking at 2030

Big Ideas That Will Shape Tesla’s Future

Five years from now, in 2030, some big ideas will help decide what happens to Tesla:


  • More Electric Cars Everywhere: Experts say that by 2030, there might be as many electric cars as regular gas cars in the world! Since Tesla is the best at making electric cars, they could sell a lot more, especially in the United States, where they don’t have as many competitors from China.


  • Cars That Drive Themselves and Smart Tech: Tesla is spending a lot of money on making cars that can drive without a person, using smart technology called AI. If the Cybercab and their self-driving tech work well, Tesla could make robot taxis that earn lots of money. But Elon Musk has said things would happen before that didn’t, so some people aren’t sure if this will work.


  • Clean Energy and Big Batteries: Tesla’s clean energy stuff, like their big batteries called Megapacks, will probably grow a lot. As more people want to use clean energy, Tesla could be a big helper in making that happen.


  • Rules and Leaders: Elon Musk is helping the U.S. leader, President Trump, which might make things easier for Tesla, like getting permission to have cars that drive themselves all over the country. But if the leaders make new rules that make electric cars harder to buy, that could be a problem for Tesla.


Tesla Megapack at a solar farm with lots of solar panels

How Many Cars and Money Tesla Might Make by 2030

People who study companies think Tesla might make 5 million cars every year by 2030 because they’ll have new cars and more factories. They might make $200 billion in money each year, and their clean energy stuff will help a lot with that. If their robot taxis work, they could make $20 billion more just from that!


But Tesla might have some problems. Other car companies might make electric cars that are cheaper, which could make Tesla lower their prices and make less money. Also, Tesla is working on a robot called Optimus that can help people, but lots of people think it’s a big dream that might not happen.

What Tesla’s Money Value Might Be in 2030

Some people who study money think Tesla’s stock price could be really high in 2030. A group called Gov Capital guesses it might be $1,534.78 in 2029, and maybe even $1,700 by the end of that year. Another group, CoinPriceForecast, thinks it’ll be $1,000 by 2030, which is a 123.52% jump from today. They think Tesla will be the best at electric cars, robot taxis, and clean energy.


But other people aren’t so sure. Right now, Tesla’s value is $1.1 trillion, but they only make $3.6 billion in extra money, which means their stock price is really high compared to what they earn. If Tesla doesn’t make all the cool stuff they promise, their stock might not go up much. A website called The Motley Fool says Tesla’s stock might not change a lot in five years because of problems like not selling enough cars or new ideas not working out.

What Tesla Might Look Like in 2030s

If everything goes really well, Tesla could be the most valuable company in the world by 2030, just like Elon Musk says! They might have robot taxis everywhere, cars that drive themselves perfectly, and lots of clean energy stuff. They could also make more cheap cars so more people can buy them.

But if things don’t go so well, Tesla might have a hard time. Other companies might make better electric cars, and Tesla might not be the best anymore. If the Cybercab or Optimus Robot doesn’t work out, people might not trust Tesla as much, and their stock price could go down. Also, if Elon Musk keeps saying things that make people mad, some might not want to buy Tesla cars.

Elon Musk talking about Tesla

Wrapping It Up: Tesla’s Big Adventure Ahead

Tesla is a super cool company with big dreams, but it has to work hard to make them come true. In the next year, new stuff like a cheaper car and robot taxis might help them grow, but they’ll have to deal with other companies and new rules. In five years, Tesla could be the best at electric cars, self-driving tech, and clean energy if they do everything right.


For people who like to buy stocks, Tesla is exciting but also a little risky. Its stock price is high because people think it’ll do great things, but it might not always work out. Whether you want to buy Tesla stock or just cheer for their cool cars, it’s fun to watch what they do next!

Tesla driving to sunset